Tuesday, October 24, 2006

Additional information regarding midterm elections. Click candidate's name for additional information.

Senate
Connecticut: Ned LamontMaryland: Ben CardinMichigan: Debbie StabenowMissouri: Claire McCaskillMontana: Jon TesterNew Jersey: Bob MenendezTennessee: Harold FordVirginia: James Webb
Democrat Held Seats
(CO-03): John Salazar(GA-03): Jim Marshall(GA-12): John Barrow(IA-03): Leonard Boswell(IL-08): Melissa Bean(IL-17): Phil Hare(IN-07): Julia Carson(NC-13): Brad Miller(PA-12): John Murtha(WV-01): Alan Mollohan
Republican Held Seats
(AZ-08): Gabrielle Giffords(CT-04): Diane Farrell(CT-05): Chris Murphy(CO-07): Ed Perlmutter(IA-01): Bruce Braley(IL-06): Tammy Duckworth(IN-02): Joe Donnelly(IN-08): Brad Ellsworth(IN-09): Baron Hill(FL-13): Christine Jennings(FL-16): Tim Mahoney(FL-22): Ron Klein(KY-03): John Yarmuth(NC-01): Heath Shuler(MN-06): Patty Wetterling(NM-01): Patricia Madrid(NY-20): Kirsten Gillibrand(NY-24): Michael Arcuri(NY-26): Jack Davis(OH-15): Mary Jo Kilroy(OH-18): Zack Space(PA-06): Lois Murphy(PA-08): Patrick Murphy(PA-07): Joe Sestak(PA-10): Chris Carney(VA-02): Phil Kellam(WI-08): Steve Kagen
Vote Republican? Here is some research about the Republican candidates. Click candidates name for informative information.

--AZ-Sen: Jon Kyl
--AZ-01: Rick Renzi
--AZ-05: J.D. Hayworth
--CA-04: John Doolittle
--CA-11: Richard Pombo
--CA-50: Brian Bilbray
--CO-04: Marilyn Musgrave
--CO-05: Doug Lamborn
--CO-07: Rick O'Donnell
--CT-04: Christopher Shays
--FL-13: Vernon Buchanan
--FL-16: Joe Negron
--FL-22: Clay Shaw
--ID-01: Bill Sali
--IL-06: Peter Roskam
--IL-10: Mark Kirk
--IL-14: Dennis Hastert
--IN-02: Chris Chocola
--IN-08: John Hostettler
--IA-01: Mike Whalen
--KS-02: Jim Ryun
--KY-03: Anne Northup
--KY-04: Geoff Davis
--MD-Sen: Michael Steele
--MN-01: Gil Gutknecht
--MN-06: Michele Bachmann
--MO-Sen: Jim Talent
--MT-Sen: Conrad Burns
--NV-03: Jon Porter
--NH-02: Charlie Bass
--NJ-07: Mike Ferguson
--NM-01: Heather Wilson
--NY-03: Peter King
--NY-20: John Sweeney
--NY-26: Tom Reynolds
--NY-29: Randy Kuhl
--NC-08: Robin Hayes
--NC-11: Charles Taylor
--OH-01: Steve Chabot
--OH-02: Jean Schmidt
--OH-15: Deborah Pryce
--OH-18: Joy Padgett
--PA-04: Melissa Hart
--PA-07: Curt Weldon
--PA-08: Mike Fitzpatrick
--PA-10: Don Sherwood
--RI-Sen: Lincoln Chafee
--TN-Sen: Bob Corker
--VA-Sen: George Allen
--VA-10: Frank Wolf
--WA-Sen: Mike McGavick
--WA-08: Dave Reichert

Tuesday, October 17, 2006

This is the first I've heard of this 7 percent thing. Is anyone else familiar with it and could you please explain it in more detail? I believe the Krugman referred to in this article is Paul Krugman, but I don't have a NYT's pay for your Op-Eds account.

From the Daily Howler

THE SEVEN-PERCENT CONVOLUTION: Hurrah! We think it’s a very important point, and Krugman discussed it again last Friday. We don’t know who’s going to win next month’s House elections. But in his column, Krugman explained a “G.O.P structural advantage” in the way our House elections now work:

KRUGMAN (10/13/06): Unless the Bush administration is keeping Osama bin Laden in a freezer somewhere, a majority of Americans will vote Democratic this year. If Congressional seats were allocated in proportion to popular votes, a Democratic House would be a done deal. But they aren't, and the way our electoral system works, combined with the way ethnic groups are distributed, still gives the Republicans some hope of holding on.

The key point is that African-Americans, who overwhelmingly vote Democratic, are highly concentrated in a few districts. This means that in close elections many Democratic votes are, as political analysts say, wasted—they simply add to huge majorities in a small number of districts, while the more widely spread Republican vote allows the G.O.P. to win by narrower margins in a larger number of districts.

Because of concentrations of Democratic voters, many Democratic votes are “wasted” in congressional races. Krugman goes on to rework the math for this fall’s elections. According to Krugman, Dems could win the popular vote by a healthy margin, and still not take back the House:
KRUGMAN: My back-of-the-envelope calculations suggest that because of this ''geographic gerrymander,'' even a substantial turnaround in total Congressional votes...would leave the House narrowly in Republican hands. It looks as if the Democrats need as much as a seven-point lead in the overall vote to take control.
Dems will need to win by at least seven points! For the record, that’s what Mort Kondracke said last week (see THE DAILY HOWLER, 10/11/06). In April, Krugman estimated that Dems might need to win by 8-10 points to take control of the House (see THE DAILY HOWLER, 4/24/06).

To state the obvious, that’s a remarkable state of affairs. And here’s an equally remarkable fact—we Democrats never discuss it! We never discuss the fact that we need to win by at least seven points if we just want to break even! Is there a way to redistrict in various states which would reduce this “structural disadvantage?” Who knows? We’re Democrats! We don’t seem to care! To all appearances, our leaders are perfectly happy to keep finishing second, as we have told you before.

This seven-point “GOP structural advantage” is important for two basic reasons. First, it keeps Democrats from gaining control of the House. Let us ask you a simple question. Can you imagine the modern Republican Party sitting still for a built-in, seven-point disadvantage? For ourselves, we find that quite hard to picture. But then, as has been clear for a good long time, the GOP’s leadership cares who wins. The Dem leadership doesn’t much seem to.

But there’s a second reason why this is important. Let’s say the following happens next month: Let’s say Dems out-poll Reps by seven or eight points—but Republicans retain a narrow margin in the House (perhaps one seat). Democrats will be ridiculed all over the press—and no one will mention the fact that we won a significant margin of votes. Our party is too lazy to fight for a real chance to win—and too stupid to care about optics.

Go ahead—ask yourself if you can picture Karl Rove accepting a seven-point built-in disadvantage. For ourselves, we can’t picture that. But then, Karl Rove tries to win.

Saturday, October 07, 2006

Arcuri in the 24th District. HELP!!




Ok, folks, there is a neighboring County that needs our netroots help. Michael Arcuri is running for Sherwood Boehlert's very Republican seat in upstate New York and I heard on NPR this AM from Alan Chartock (yes, all of you NY'ers have heard of Alan) that it is the most important race in NY. So, here we go again. Any donation you can spare would be greatly appreciated. I know we are all tapped out at this point, but any donation will help.

Here!

Here's what the pundits are saying:

NY-24: STILL NUMBER ONE
The race for the open 24th district seat continues to be the hottest in New York.

The Hill
(Jonathan Kaplan. 9/26/06): Parties get bang for the buck in early spending

Six weeks before the mid-term elections, the race to succeed Rep. Sherwood Boehlert (R-N.Y.) in New York’s 24th congressional district could be considered the most competitive in the country based on television advertising spending. The House Republican and Democratic campaign committees have spent close to $1 million on independent expenditure advertisements in New York’s 24th district where they can they can get a big bang for their buck because the cost of buying airtime is cheap.... The NRCC has spent approximately $485,000 on airtime and the committee has conducted two polls since late August to help state Sen. Ray Meier (R-N.Y.) defeat Democrat Mike Arcuri, the Oneida County district attorney. The DCCC has spent more than $450,000 on advertising and production costs and $76,000 in direct mail, based on a review of independent expenditures since Aug. 29 from Political Money Line, which tracks campaign contributions, and figures provided by the DCCC.

Syracuse Post-Standard (Mark Weiner, 9/17/06):
CNY race sets national political fire
The big national names are lining up, and the money and people are flowing in, to support the candidates for the open 24th Congressional District seat in Central New York… It's one of the hottest national battlegrounds as Republicans attempt to hold off a Democratic challenge this November for control of Congress. Democrats hold 201 seats in the House, and need 218 for a majority… The 24th District is especially attractive to both parties because it's the only open congressional seat in New York state. It has also been held for the past 24 years by Boehlert, a moderate Republican who gained support from Democrats and independents.

Syracuse Post-Standard (Fred Pierce, 9/6/06):
Race for Boehlert seat draws big money; Its national significance helps Repubilcans, Democrats collect half-million dollars
During the two months before Labor Day kicked off the unofficial fall election season, national Republican and Democratic leaders helped funnel more than half a million dollars into the battle to replace Rep. Sherwood Boehlert in Congress. Republicans - inspired by a visit from Vice President Dick Cheney, and with the help of big businesses and GOP action committees with names like Americans Nationwide Dedicated to Electing Republicans - poured $294,168 into the campaign of state Sen. Ray Meier, federal campaign records show. Meanwhile Democrats - caught up in a drive to take over the House of Representatives and helped by big labor unions and partisan committees like the Democrats Win Seats PAC - shoveled $238,796 into Oneida County District Attorney Mike Arcuri's campaign.

Gannett
(John Machacek, 9/24/06): Battle over Boehlert's seat rages Campaign committees raise stakes in ads
The national political parties are firing their opening salvos in a highly competitive central New York congressional race to replace retiring Republican Sherwood Boehlert. They have already spent more than $500,000 combined on TV ads, direct mail and other strategic help, officials at the Federal Election Commission say. And last week, dueling attack ads aired for the first time in the contest between Republican Ray Meier, a state senator from Oneida County, and Democrat Michael Arcuri, the Oneida County district attorney.

Wednesday, October 04, 2006

Monkey See - Monkey Do


Example One:
SAN JOSE, Calif., Oct. 4 — Patricia C. Dunn, the former chairwoman of Hewlett-Packard, and four other people were indicted here today on state criminal charges in the spying case that has rocked the company.

In addition to Ms. Dunn, the indictment names Kevin T. Hunsaker, a former senior lawyer at H.P.; Ronald L. DeLia, a Boston-area private detective; Joseph DePante, owner of Action Research Group, a Melbourne, Fla., information broker; and Bryan Wagner, a Littleton, Colo., man who is said to have obtained private phone records while working for Mr. DePante.

All of those named face four charges: using of false or fraudulent pretenses to obtain confidential information from a public utility, unauthorized access to computer data, identity theft, and conspiracy to commit each of those crimes. All of the charges are felonies.
Example Two:
Court Allows Domestic Spying For Now
Bush Administration to Continue Warrantless Surveillance Program During Appeal

By DAN SEWELL
Oct. 4, 2006 — CINCINNATI (AP) -The Bush administration is allowed to continue its warrantless surveillance program while it appeals a judge's ruling that the program is unconstitutional, a federal appeals court ruled Wednesday.

The president says the program is needed in the war on terrorism; opponents say it oversteps constitutional boundaries on free speech, privacy and executive powers.

Monday, October 02, 2006

Mothers, don't let your kids grow up to be soldiers

I'm not even going to try to comment on this. This is the exact word for word story, as it appeared in our local paper.

Mother gets telephone call she never wanted
By LORRAINE HEATH Evening Times Staff Writer (Wed., Sept. 27)
Published: Thursday, September 28, 2006 10:08 AM CDT

LITTLE FALLS — It is a military mother’s worst fear — the phone call notifying them their son has been injured.

For Georgia Tucci of Little Falls, it was a time she will never forget. Her son, Daniel Barnes, a 1995 graduate of Little Falls High School, and a soldier in the infantry serving in Iraq, was severely injured when a grenade went off inside the Humvee he was sitting in with three friends.

The blast took both of his legs and sent him to recover in a Texas hospital. His mother just returned from being with her son.

“Every time the phone would ring, that was my first thought, that Dan was injured and they were calling me. That night, however, when the phone rang, that was not my first thought for some reason. When I heard the voice on the other end say, ‘Your son has been injured and has lost both his legs,’ I screamed and fell on the floor saying ‘No, No, No,’ over and over again,” Tucci said. That phone call was received on Labor Day, September 4.

For the next four days, Tucci was in a void, where information about her son was limited. “They said he was taken to a hospital in Baghdad and from there he was being sent to a hospital in Germany. All they would say was, ‘He is in very serious, but stable condition.’ What that meant, I could not find out,” she said.

Barnes was serving his second tour in Iraq, and was scheduled to leave the country in 52 days. Tucci said her son had 14 missions left, so she began to not worry quite so much.

“I figured he was almost done and he would leave Iraq soon,” she said.

As sleep eluded her, Tucci spent most of her time on the phone, trying to find out something, anything, about her son’s condition. All she knew was that he had surgery and that he would be coming back to the U.S. She got her first piece of news on Wednesday morning, September 6.

“They called at about 2 or 3 a.m. and said he was finally on his way to Germany, and listed him in critical, but stable condition. The next day they said he was still on his way to Germany. Finally, I called an 800-number and went off on the poor guy that answered the phone,” Tucci said.

Her not knowing how her son was, compounded by the lack of information, finally grew inside, and her release was yelling at someone who was not at fault. Tucci said she felt bad, but her tirade got her results — she was patched through to his nurse. “She said that yes, he did lose his legs, but his vital signs were very good,” Tucci said. That little piece of information was more than she had received until then.

It was not long after the Army called and told her to get a passport. The Army was flying Tucci and her ex-husband to Germany.

Tucci said she ran around like crazy as she packed and got passport photos. Later, the Army called and said her son was coming to the U.S. on Friday, so she would fly to Washington instead. She was told they would contact her Saturday with the details. At around 8 a.m., they did.

“We arrived in San Antonio, Texas, at 8 p.m. that night,” she said.

Her son was taken to Brooke Army Medical Center, a place that specializes in amputee care.

It was at the hospital that finally the moment that took five long days to arrive happened — she entered her son’s hospital room.

“There were tubes sticking out all over him and I thought ‘My God, he is only half there.’ He was unconscious, but a tear was trickling down the side of his face,” Tucci said.

Tucci said she began to learn more about the grenade that almost took her son’s life. “He and three others were sitting on the side of the road in the Humvee when a hand-held grenade was launched through the window on the passenger side, exploding between the passenger and driver. My son was sitting in the front passenger seat. A Sergeant or a Private Allen pulled him out and saved his life. She put tourniquets on his legs to stop the bleeding. His left leg was worse and his left arm was singed a little. Someone was watching over him that day,” she said. “I keep thinking about everything else that could have happened.”

She said her son remembered everything immediately after the explosion and was aware of what had happened to his legs.

“He doesn’t remember anything after that until he awoke. They kept him pretty heavily sedated,” Tucci said.

The other three men in the Humvee were also injured, but not to the extent of Barnes.

Little by little, Tucci said, her son began to improve. They had to take him to surgery to remove more of his right leg due to an infection. Both legs are now gone above the knee. Shortly after his surgery, he was moved to the “step down unit,” where he remains today.

On September 18, Barnes celebrated his 29th birthday.

“His brother and sisters were flown down thanks to an organization called the Fisher Foundation. What this group does is, through donations of frequent flyer miles, provide plane tickets for family members to visit their loved ones. With all of us there, we had pizza for Dan’s birthday in his room. His two boys were also there, whom he saw for the first time on September 16. He seemed upset at first, but then said ‘I am glad you are all here,’” Tucci said.

Barnes, his mother said, is now able to get himself in and out of bed and even went to the cafeteria with his parents for dinner.

Although her son will never be the same, he has an incredible outlook at the road he now faces.

“I talked with his wife and he was doing push-ups and sit-ups and the doctors are very impressed with how far he has come,” she said.

Tucci said the one thing that has helped her cope with all that has happened was that she was not alone at the hospital.

Many mothers were also in the same place she was — waiting for their children to recover. “No one realizes how many of our men and women are coming back from Iraq with arms and legs missing. How many have been burned that you know there is a face there, but you can’t see it. And then there are those who have no physical wounds, but are in a hospital due to emotional wounds that run so very deep inside. We never hear about the injured, only the dead,” Tucci said.

She relied on those other mothers and swapped stories with them about their sons or daughters.
“It was kind of nice knowing I wasn’t the only one,” she said.

Barnes was sent to Iraq for his first tour of duty about two years ago. He left in November for his second tour.

Between the two tours, Tucci said her son has been injured twice before, first by shrapnel, the second, a concussion.

“When he left for Iraq I told him to make sure he takes care of himself. He told me, ‘Mom, this is my job. This is what I signed up for.’ They never think it can happen to them,” Tucci said. She said her son also told her that compared to his first tour, the second was far worse.

“I just don’t think this is worth all the pain,” she said about the war in Iraq. “I have seen so many injured with arms and legs missing. There was one mother whose son had died the day we got to the hospital. It just isn’t worth all this.”

Tucci said eventually she had to come home, although she could have stayed until October 8 according to her “orders” from the Army.

Due to starting a new job, she came home just this past week. But her thoughts are never far from her son and his family.

“I lay in bed at night and think about what could have happened, how his injuries could have been so much worse,” she said.

She also thinks about the last time she communicated with him, the Sunday morning before the grenade.

“I talked to him as often as I could via the Internet and Sunday morning, Sept. 3, I did as well. His last words were, ‘Well gotta go. Love you mom.’ The next day was just such a shock,” Tucci said.

Tucci said her son is improving everyday, and admits she is taking the loss of his legs harder than he is.

“They told him when he is fitted for his artificial legs he can be as tall as he wants. He said six feet is what he wants to be. He is adjusting very well, and as long as he can hunt and fish, his two most favorite things to do, he will be just fine,” she said.

She stays in touch with Barnes and his family by telephone and through www.caringbridge.com, a website started by Barnes’ wife, Gretchen. At the site, she writes a journal about her husband’s progress and how things are going. The September 26 entry said, “Yesterday at therapy he worked on learning on how to get from his wheelchair to the floor and back into his chair. He said it was very hard. But I’m sure in a few days of practice he will have it mastered with no problem. He is so determined to get better and as soon as he can!!”

Tucci said anyone who wishes to write a message to her son and family needs to just log onto the site, click on “visit a caringbridge website” and type in danielbarnes.

Tucci expects Barnes will stay in the hospital for at the very least six months. She said his plans following his stay are up in the air.

“One minute he says he wants to stay in the military, the next day he doesn’t. He is alive, and that’s all that matters to me,” she said.